# Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 29% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 29 May 2026 18:32:27 GMT. 24h change -11.3pp, 24h volume $199.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-180-199
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-180-199
**Category:** Tech
**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-29T18:32:27.154Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **29¢** (29%) |
| Δ 1h | -4.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -11.3pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $199.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $440.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $8.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026

**Source:** https://x.com/elonmusk

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 22 12:00 PM ET to May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
> 
> For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
> 
> Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
> 
> Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
> 
> Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
> 
> The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x689a…779e` — 49,506.81 shares
- `0xa576…8678` — 35,000 shares
- `0x02b4…7092` — 30,000 shares
- `0xaac2…e8ce` — 23,782.13 shares
- `0x2037…473d` — 10,488.31 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 269,120.58 shares
- `0x2cf3…ae6f` — 11,500 shares
- `0xe23d…3c72` — 9,452.243 shares
- `0xf2f2…1762` — 8,680.87 shares
- `0xbf37…2454` — 3,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 163 |
| Window start | 2026-05-23T00:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-29T18:32:03.000Z |
| Range | 3¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +88.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-180-199` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? — 29% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-29T18:32:27.154Z from https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-180-199.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*