# Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 13:06:22 GMT. 24h change -0.2pp, 24h volume $172.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-280-299
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-280-299
**Category:** Tech
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T13:06:22.467Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.2pp |
| Δ 1w | -5.3pp |
| 24h volume | $172.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $232.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $44.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://x.com/elonmusk

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 5 12:00 PM ET to May 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
> 
> For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
> 
> Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
> 
> Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
> 
> Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
> 
> The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x689a…779e` — 38,609.09 shares
- `0x17f1…af18` — 22,221.842 shares
- `0xa59c…bb62` — 11,344.26 shares
- `0x8eab…a56d` — 8,000 shares
- `0x4067…6ffa` — 7,552 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 210,138.679 shares
- `0x91eb…143e` — 2,004.008 shares
- `0xc4d5…87cf` — 1,618.793 shares
- `0x2d4c…2e02` — 1,002.982 shares
- `0x3d33…4aba` — 801.603 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T14:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T13:06:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 9¢ |
| Net change | -5.3pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-280-299` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T13:06:22.467Z from https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-280-299.
```

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