# Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 10:51:21 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $109.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-460-479
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-460-479
**Category:** Tech
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T10:51:21.035Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $109.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $116.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $16.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://x.com/elonmusk

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 5 12:00 PM ET to May 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
> 
> For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
> 
> Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
> 
> Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
> 
> Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
> 
> The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa14a…df2a` — 36,314.12 shares
- `0xd8c4…848d` — 15,463.2 shares
- `0x689a…779e` — 8,975.01 shares
- `0x332e…fd5d` — 5,000 shares
- `0xe3fc…a1d9` — 5,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 98,612.436 shares
- `0xa606…8273` — 1,563.33 shares
- `0x558f…1a56` — 93 shares
- `0xd897…9b49` — 5 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 31 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T05:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T10:50:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 5¢ |
| Net change | -4.3pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-460-479` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T10:51:21.035Z from https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-460-479.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*