# Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 11:11:49 GMT. 24h change +0.1pp, 24h volume $204.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-80-99
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-80-99
**Category:** Tech
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T11:11:49.585Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $204.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $518.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $59.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://x.com/elonmusk

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 5 12:00 PM ET to May 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
> 
> For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
> 
> Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
> 
> Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
> 
> Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
> 
> The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x849c…4009` — 34,601.822 shares
- `0x02b4…7092` — 30,000 shares
- `0x813e…5d51` — 29,999.729 shares
- `0xaf46…8c1d` — 21,360.225 shares
- `0xc732…45b3` — 20,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 204,531.651 shares
- `0x2ec8…f196` — 16,115.67 shares
- `0xe855…a4ad` — 10,477.26 shares
- `0x2580…591b` — 5,900 shares
- `0x4daf…3d99` — 5,566.303 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T12:00:11.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T11:10:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 7¢ |
| Net change | +0.2pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-80-99` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T11:11:49.585Z from https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-5-may-12-80-99.
```

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