# Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 21:32:34 GMT. 24h change +0.2pp, 24h volume $261.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-8-may-15-200-219
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-8-may-15-200-219
**Category:** Tech
**Resolves by:** May 15, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T21:32:34.605Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.2pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.2pp |
| Δ 1w | -12.0pp |
| 24h volume | $261.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $535.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $37.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 15, 2026

**Source:** https://x.com/elonmusk

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
> 
> For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
> 
> Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
> 
> Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
> 
> Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
> 
> The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 18h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2061…8ec9` — 70,854.15 shares
- `0xd8c4…848d` — 43,949.344 shares
- `0x02b4…7092` — 30,000.06 shares
- `0xa49b…7054` — 19,607.626 shares
- `0x8eab…a56d` — 7,910.02 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 268,580.257 shares
- `0x5409…79db` — 30,124.038 shares
- `0xaac2…e8ce` — 11,778.33 shares
- `0xc4d5…87cf` — 2,905.771 shares
- `0x913f…c676` — 1,746 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-07T22:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T21:32:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 22¢ |
| Net change | -12.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=elon-musk-of-tweets-may-8-may-15-200-219` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T21:32:34.605Z from https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-8-may-15-200-219.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*