# Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 80% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 16:03:56 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $250.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/epl-mac-cry-2026-03-21-mac
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/epl-mac-cry-2026-03-21-mac
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Mar 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T16:03:56.681Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **80¢** (80%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +3.0pp |
| 24h volume | $250.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $373.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $954.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Mar 21, 2026

**Source:** https://www.premierleague.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 21, 2026
> If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
> This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x7c58…a5a1` — 50,000 shares
- `0x4900…4a72` — 23,349.37 shares
- `0xf519…906b` — 10,000.003 shares
- `0x972b…78ba` — 9,107.065 shares
- `0x14e4…3e2b` — 8,900 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x39d3…9ef0` — 34,479.94 shares
- `0x85e8…474a` — 26,568.758 shares
- `0xd267…9dc6` — 18,565.397 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 18,520.11 shares
- `0x9f2f…2ca8` — 16,119.915 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T17:00:13.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T16:02:05.000Z |
| Range | 77¢ → 83¢ |
| Net change | +3.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=epl-mac-cry-2026-03-21-mac` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? — 80% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T16:03:56.681Z from https://orrery.me/markets/epl-mac-cry-2026-03-21-mac.
```

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