# Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 49% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 07:42:06 GMT. 24h change +1.5pp, 24h volume $153.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/epl-mac-cry-2026-03-21-total-3pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/epl-mac-cry-2026-03-21-total-3pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Mar 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T07:42:06.816Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **49¢** (49%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +13.0pp |
| 24h volume | $153.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $160.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $80.4K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Mar 21, 2026

**Source:** https://www.premierleague.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester City FC and Crystal Palace FC, scheduled for March 21 at 11:00 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if Manchester City FC and Crystal Palace FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
> 
> If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa2cc…0cbc` — 107,836.19 shares
- `0x7236…ea53` — 6,400 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 5,581.075 shares
- `0x374a…03ed` — 4,800 shares
- `0xe1a6…d584` — 2,800 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x85f0…3f67` — 109,999.891 shares
- `0xfa5f…6bfe` — 35,000 shares
- `0xd320…81a5` — 1,779 shares
- `0x454b…5b8b` — 1,537.976 shares
- `0xb86e…e0ec` — 1,004 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T08:00:03.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T07:40:05.000Z |
| Range | 36¢ → 49¢ |
| Net change | +13.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=epl-mac-cry-2026-03-21-total-3pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5 — 49% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T07:42:06.816Z from https://orrery.me/markets/epl-mac-cry-2026-03-21-total-3pt5.
```

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