# Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 03:21:33 GMT. 24h change -15.8pp, 24h volume $375.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/epstein-suicide-note-released-by-may-8
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/epstein-suicide-note-released-by-may-8
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T03:21:33.871Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -15.8pp |
| Δ 1w | -1.4pp |
| 24h volume | $375.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $570.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $100.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `disputed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

**UMA status:** `disputed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication.
> 
> A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed.
> 
> The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfd66…fb6d` — 99,999.9 shares
- `0x1fa1…1fa9` — 30,095.873 shares
- `0xcd0d…7ec8` — 18,000 shares
- `0x72ef…f569` — 15,000.396 shares
- `0xa510…1f80` — 12,809.885 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xc8ab…6418` — 48,597.339 shares
- `0x1295…5cfd` — 45,002.13 shares
- `0x35bb…009b` — 39,999.977 shares
- `0x2a01…6397` — 18,805.381 shares
- `0x47ab…95df` — 7,536 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T04:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T03:20:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -1.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=epstein-suicide-note-released-by-may-8` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Epstein suicide note released by May 8? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T03:21:33.871Z from https://orrery.me/markets/epstein-suicide-note-released-by-may-8.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*