# Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 29 May 2026 18:31:00 GMT. 24h change +0.7pp, 24h volume $391.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/ethereum-above-1800-on-may-29-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-1800-on-may-29-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-29T18:31:00.886Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.7pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $391.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $405.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $139.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
> 
> Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 74 |
| Window start | 2026-05-26T16:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-29T17:27:03.000Z |
| Range | 51¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +49.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=ethereum-above-1800-on-may-29-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29? — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-29T18:31:00.886Z from https://orrery.me/markets/ethereum-above-1800-on-may-29-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*