# Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 77% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 19:44:52 GMT. 24h change -2.5pp, 24h volume $47.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/euroleague-olympiac-madrid-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/euroleague-olympiac-madrid-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T19:44:52.369Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **77¢** (77%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $47.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $47.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $17.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for May 24 at 2:00PM ET:
> If the Olympiacos B.C. win, the market will resolve to "Olympiacos B.C.".
> If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3496…8fc4` — 91,120.756 shares
- `0x5af4…a7df` — 31,257.312 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 17,931.573 shares
- `0xc9e5…6199` — 8,327.344 shares
- `0x8191…8a35` — 7,809.21 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd696…8a49` — 39,000 shares
- `0xf164…8fa4` — 19,919.478 shares
- `0xddfc…bd59` — 17,420.651 shares
- `0xe911…3d4e` — 15,492 shares
- `0x7b10…acab` — 13,054.56 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 26 |
| Window start | 2026-05-23T15:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T15:58:04.000Z |
| Range | 76¢ → 82¢ |
| Net change | -2.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=euroleague-olympiac-madrid-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid — 77% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T19:44:52.369Z from https://orrery.me/markets/euroleague-olympiac-madrid-2026-05-24.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*