# Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 92% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 22 May 2026 17:05:50 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $288.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/glory-in-giza-oleksandr-usyk-vs-rico-verhoeven
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/glory-in-giza-oleksandr-usyk-vs-rico-verhoeven
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-22T17:05:50.259Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **92¢** (92%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $288.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $289.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $127.9K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Usyk" if Oleksandr Usyk is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rico Verhoeven, at Glory in Giza, scheduled for May 23, 2026 at The Pyramids of Giza in Giza, Egypt.
> 
> It will resolve to "Rico" if Rico Verhoeven is officially declared the winner.
> 
> If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from Matchroom Boxing (https://www.matchroomboxing.com/).

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 31h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x4488…e319` — 116,772.533 shares
- `0xf438…9559` — 99,999.946 shares
- `0xe25b…0f1b` — 36,545.78 shares
- `0x59a5…afc8` — 29,587.984 shares
- `0xb12b…5a89` — 22,500 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x81b1…e84b` — 179,956.62 shares
- `0x987c…cd13` — 142,427.156 shares
- `0x9368…80a3` — 116,015.198 shares
- `0xabbe…7658` — 13,959 shares
- `0x6600…900c` — 8,576.51 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 41 |
| Window start | 2026-05-21T02:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-22T17:05:04.000Z |
| Range | 51¢ → 95¢ |
| Net change | +40.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=glory-in-giza-oleksandr-usyk-vs-rico-verhoeven` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven — 92% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-22T17:05:50.259Z from https://orrery.me/markets/glory-in-giza-oleksandr-usyk-vs-rico-verhoeven.
```

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