# GTA VI released before June 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 09:38:18 GMT. 24h change +0.1pp, 24h volume $106.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026
**Category:** Entertainment
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T09:38:18.462Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.2pp |
| 24h volume | $106.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $15.0M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $62.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
> 
> The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 10%): Open resolution ambiguity — verify the source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3c16…763f` — 47,749.614 shares
- `0x4e39…8cbf` — 24,853.041 shares
- `0xf89b…980c` — 22,849.846 shares
- `0xd600…b66e` — 20,124.463 shares
- `0xd821…e681` — 11,053.364 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1bfd…40d0` — 109,107.454 shares
- `0x12b8…479c` — 33,346.28 shares
- `0xe7ef…b402` — 30,763.333 shares
- `0x9507…7b04` — 28,609.559 shares
- `0x93d4…7345` — 18,272.751 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-19T14:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-26T13:50:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 2¢ |
| Net change | -0.2pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=gta-vi-released-before-june-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "GTA VI released before June 2026? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T09:38:18.462Z from https://orrery.me/markets/gta-vi-released-before-june-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*