# Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 8% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 00:20:36 GMT. 24h change +2.4pp, 24h volume $198.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T00:20:36.642Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **8¢** (8%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.2pp |
| Δ 24h | +2.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $198.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $252.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $201.1K |
| Spread | 0.30pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xd930…dfae` — 18,199.85 shares
- `0x8747…551a` — 16,559.879 shares
- `0x39fb…32c7` — 9,961.443 shares
- `0x97d6…0ca3` — 6,488.951 shares
- `0x6b60…9c7e` — 6,096.63 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1e1f…c855` — 55,343.507 shares
- `0xe541…d45d` — 15,861.842 shares
- `0x54a7…881b` — 5,043.664 shares
- `0xf7ca…cd59` — 4,999.991 shares
- `0x1d62…d76b` — 4,999.984 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 59 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T15:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T00:19:03.000Z |
| Range | 3¢ → 35¢ |
| Net change | -26.6pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? — 8% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T00:20:36.642Z from https://orrery.me/markets/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*