# Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 7% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 12 May 2026 10:46:57 GMT. 24h change +0.1pp, 24h volume $321.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-by-december-31-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-by-december-31-2026
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2025
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-12T10:46:57.137Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **7¢** (7%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.1pp |
| 24h volume | $321.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $354.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $19.1K |
| Spread | 0.20pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2025

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5f3c…ca16` — 2,162.627 shares
- `0xa58d…b9b8` — 1,876.015 shares
- `0x66a1…80d9` — 1,249.965 shares
- `0x2086…3c01` — 943.947 shares
- `0x93b8…4c10` — 645 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x7c3d…5c6b` — 1,222.686 shares
- `0x04cc…48ac` — 1,123 shares
- `0x0dde…94c3` — 1,120.05 shares
- `0xc6ea…cd6a` — 556.174 shares
- `0x88fc…900e` — 400 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T11:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-12T10:46:08.000Z |
| Range | 7¢ → 8¢ |
| Net change | -0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-by-december-31-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? — 7% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-12T10:46:57.137Z from https://orrery.me/markets/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-by-december-31-2026.
```

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