# RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 81% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 12:58:57 GMT. 24h change +24.0pp, 24h volume $176.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lal-cel-elc-2026-05-03-total-2pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lal-cel-elc-2026-05-03-total-2pt5
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T12:58:57.795Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **81¢** (81%) |
| Δ 1h | +25.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +24.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +27.5pp |
| 24h volume | $176.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $196.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $14.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.laliga.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming La Liga game between RC Celta de Vigo and Elche CF, scheduled for May 3 at 8:00 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if RC Celta de Vigo and Elche CF combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
> 
> If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3fd9…1ef0` — 106,471.729 shares
- `0x77bc…b91b` — 24,812.932 shares
- `0x2a91…c6b1` — 14,983.063 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 5,201.893 shares
- `0x70d8…a237` — 3,988.636 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x204f…5e14` — 46,124.724 shares
- `0xe807…307c` — 16,098 shares
- `0x198f…c419` — 14,307.957 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 8,916.266 shares
- `0x7236…ea53` — 8,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-26T13:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T12:58:09.000Z |
| Range | 53¢ → 81¢ |
| Net change | +27.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lal-cel-elc-2026-05-03-total-2pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5 — 81% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T12:58:57.795Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lal-cel-elc-2026-05-03-total-2pt5.
```

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