# LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 13:00:13 GMT. 24h change +59.5pp, 24h volume $388.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-bro2-fox1-2026-05-07-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-bro2-fox1-2026-05-07-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T13:00:13.671Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +59.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $388.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $388.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $190.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 7 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against BNK FEARX.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb489…de6b` — 21,055.14 shares
- `0x42bd…12ca` — 19,100 shares
- `0x14f1…4a46` — 16,409 shares
- `0xd202…8973` — 11,218.938 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 7,235.922 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1341…0853` — 24,999.932 shares
- `0x5903…d02b` — 14,351.086 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 12,145.993 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 7,999.961 shares
- `0x6918…782b` — 6,717.307 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 114 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T20:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T12:59:06.000Z |
| Range | 39¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +35.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-bro2-fox1-2026-05-07-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T13:00:13.671Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-bro2-fox1-2026-05-07-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*