# LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 23% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 13:51:57 GMT. 24h change -2.5pp, 24h volume $58.66.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-bro2-t1-2026-05-24-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-bro2-t1-2026-05-24-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T13:51:57.781Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **23¢** (23%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.5pp |
| Δ 1w | -1.5pp |
| 24h volume | $58.66 |
| Lifetime volume | $104.91 |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $7.3K |
| Spread | 4.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and T1 in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 24 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against T1.
> 
> This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 0h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1341…0853` — 29,690.784 shares
- `0x40ea…832f` — 24,087.397 shares
- `0x9a4c…1f30` — 16,799.969 shares
- `0x1a35…6fe0` — 9,249.97 shares
- `0x3471…f17e` — 6,483.76 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3833…33d1` — 4,000 shares
- `0xd3e7…bf64` — 1,630 shares
- `0x183f…85e3` — 1,571.619 shares
- `0x37bd…2a26` — 850 shares
- `0xaab1…9b4f` — 568.182 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-17T14:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T13:00:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 28¢ |
| Net change | -25.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-bro2-t1-2026-05-24-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner — 23% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T13:51:57.781Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-bro2-t1-2026-05-24-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*
