# LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 00:06:35 GMT. 24h change +39.0pp, 24h volume $419.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-c9-fly-2026-05-10-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-c9-fly-2026-05-10-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T00:06:35.620Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +39.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $419.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $419.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $194.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and FlyQuest in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 10 at 4:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 2 against FlyQuest.
> 
> This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 2 against Cloud9.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 28,047.92 shares
- `0x2037…473d` — 25,000 shares
- `0x93cc…6ffc` — 19,002 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 16,642.691 shares
- `0x4337…8882` — 14,229.88 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb489…de6b` — 80,080.08 shares
- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 13,916.255 shares
- `0xb10b…0b04` — 12,422.736 shares
- `0xec98…afcd` — 6,979.852 shares
- `0xb6ce…7a7d` — 6,364.178 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 153 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T17:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T00:05:05.000Z |
| Range | 53¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +41.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-c9-fly-2026-05-10-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T00:06:35.620Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-c9-fly-2026-05-10-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*