# LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 61% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 23:12:28 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $5.00.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-c9-fly-2026-05-23-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-c9-fly-2026-05-23-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T23:12:28.134Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **61¢** (61%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $5.00 |
| Lifetime volume | $5.00 |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $8.7K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Cloud9 and FlyQuest in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 4:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 1 against FlyQuest.
> 
> This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 1 against Cloud9.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6049…f14f` — 39,669.8 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 26,655.248 shares
- `0x2cad…eb66` — 17,662.263 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 14,869.735 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 10,915.314 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xc44f…d49f` — 34,263.765 shares
- `0x40ea…832f` — 33,174.965 shares
- `0x3e53…bf9a` — 9,737.978 shares
- `0xda3a…381f` — 8,444.444 shares
- `0x9cd1…285d` — 8,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 113 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T16:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T07:38:06.000Z |
| Range | 56¢ → 63¢ |
| Net change | +1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-c9-fly-2026-05-23-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner — 61% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T23:12:28.134Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-c9-fly-2026-05-23-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*