# LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 32% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 11:34:45 GMT. 24h change -30.0pp, 24h volume $636.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-bro2-2026-05-21-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dk-bro2-2026-05-21-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T11:34:45.381Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **32¢** (32%) |
| Δ 1h | -33.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -30.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $636.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $636.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $24.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION.
> 
> This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against Dplus KIA.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 5h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1341…0853` — 66,255.716 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 36,433.344 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 35,622.834 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 33,521.88 shares
- `0x6049…f14f` — 31,859.03 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfbf3…b218` — 156,933.648 shares
- `0x40ea…832f` — 55,671.144 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 26,143.92 shares
- `0xd2f3…37f9` — 24,221.599 shares
- `0xe100…4d41` — 20,752.528 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 140 |
| Window start | 2026-05-15T16:00:14.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T10:59:06.000Z |
| Range | 20¢ → 66¢ |
| Net change | -30.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dk-bro2-2026-05-21-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner — 32% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T11:34:45.381Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-bro2-2026-05-21-game1.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*