# LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 12:54:17 GMT. 24h change -62.5pp, 24h volume $921.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-bro2-2026-05-21-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dk-bro2-2026-05-21-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T12:54:17.218Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -64.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -62.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $921.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $921.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $500.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 2 against HANJIN BRION.
> 
> This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 2 against Dplus KIA.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 93%): Probability moved down 62.5pp in 24h with 1.8× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xafd4…7e61` — 47,475.841 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 44,848.581 shares
- `0xc350…3669` — 35,733.362 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 26,299.918 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 25,171.214 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf61f…3938` — 60,000 shares
- `0xd2f3…37f9` — 49,904.588 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 48,364.296 shares
- `0xfa58…31d6` — 41,569.39 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 37,980 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 142 |
| Window start | 2026-05-15T16:00:14.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T12:22:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 66¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dk-bro2-2026-05-21-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T12:54:17.218Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-bro2-2026-05-21-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*