# LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 67% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 09:40:39 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $1.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-fox1-2026-05-23-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dk-fox1-2026-05-23-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T09:40:39.682Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **67¢** (67%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +1.5pp |
| 24h volume | $1.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $1.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $29.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and BNK FEARX in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 23 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against BNK FEARX.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Dplus KIA.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 34,043.09 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 25,635.79 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 21,984.17 shares
- `0x996a…e3cc` — 20,000 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 14,735 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x40ea…832f` — 27,922.02 shares
- `0xe361…ae44` — 27,187.038 shares
- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 20,000 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 15,397.912 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 14,734.027 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-16T10:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T09:40:03.000Z |
| Range | 53¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +35.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dk-fox1-2026-05-23-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner — 67% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T09:40:39.682Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-fox1-2026-05-23-game1.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*