# LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 11:35:18 GMT. 24h change -65.0pp, 24h volume $587.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-fox1-2026-05-23-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dk-fox1-2026-05-23-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T11:35:18.072Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -83.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -65.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -65.0pp |
| 24h volume | $587.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $587.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $485.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and BNK FEARX in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 23 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 2 against BNK FEARX.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 2 against Dplus KIA.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 85%): Probability moved down 65.0pp in 24h with 1.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 0h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xd1ec…d09c` — 55,872 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 26,251.14 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 17,999.955 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 17,296.952 shares
- `0x6832…831f` — 10,708.44 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6049…f14f` — 56,973.36 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 29,999.89 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 29,618.535 shares
- `0xf201…527e` — 19,970.4 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 15,314.42 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-16T11:00:24.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T10:26:18.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 71¢ |
| Net change | -65.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dk-fox1-2026-05-23-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T11:35:18.072Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-fox1-2026-05-23-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*