# Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 16:25:10 GMT. 24h change +57.0pp, 24h volume $152.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game-handicap-away-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game-handicap-away-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T16:25:10.143Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +57.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $152.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $152.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $196.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Dplus KIA and Nongshim Red Force in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 4 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA wins 2 or more games than Nongshim Red Force in this match.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force". 
> 
> Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x33ab…9523` — 49,663.97 shares
- `0xea2b…1fc6` — 14,718.697 shares
- `0xda3a…381f` — 7,048.484 shares
- `0xa2e4…bf9d` — 4,610.605 shares
- `0xb0f7…644f` — 3,426.925 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 10,752.376 shares
- `0x8479…40df` — 10,006.421 shares
- `0xa7df…5eee` — 7,500 shares
- `0x6918…782b` — 6,984.75 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 6,739.78 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 79 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T11:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T16:24:04.000Z |
| Range | 34¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game-handicap-away-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T16:25:10.143Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game-handicap-away-1pt5.
```

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