# LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 13:21:08 GMT. 24h change +35.9pp, 24h volume $253.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T13:21:08.717Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +35.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $253.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $254.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $342.2K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Dplus KIA and Nongshim Red Force in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 4 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against Dplus KIA.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1341…0853` — 44,813.36 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 22,362.46 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 21,729.5 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 13,103.652 shares
- `0xb489…de6b` — 9,640.52 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x32cc…68b3` — 22,222 shares
- `0x18bb…e5cd` — 10,745.959 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 10,277.393 shares
- `0xb10b…0b04` — 10,036.481 shares
- `0x2935…96f7` — 10,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 77 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T10:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T13:20:05.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T13:21:08.717Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*