# LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 15:07:27 GMT. 24h change +37.5pp, 24h volume $228.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T15:07:27.655Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +37.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $228.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $228.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $122.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Dplus KIA and Nongshim Red Force in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 4 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 2 against Nongshim Red Force.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 2 against Dplus KIA.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 25,662.02 shares
- `0x1887…f75d` — 13,665.71 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 7,253.756 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 5,993.117 shares
- `0x7714…b814` — 5,000.98 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb10b…0b04` — 15,553.957 shares
- `0x2935…96f7` — 12,099.962 shares
- `0x32cc…68b3` — 10,948.029 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 8,056.95 shares
- `0x835b…6f16` — 5,458.453 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 79 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T10:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T15:07:05.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T15:07:27.655Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-ns-2026-05-04-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*