# LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 11:31:44 GMT. 24h change -37.5pp, 24h volume $493.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-t1-2026-05-25-game3
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dk-t1-2026-05-25-game3
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T11:31:44.757Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -25.4pp |
| Δ 24h | -37.5pp |
| Δ 1w | -31.9pp |
| 24h volume | $493.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $493.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.0M |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Dplus KIA and T1 in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 25 at 3:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 3 against T1.
> 
> This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 3 against Dplus KIA.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. 
> 
> If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 76%): Probability moved down 37.5pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 0h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x40ea…832f` — 54,716.734 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 17,999.993 shares
- `0x67ac…edf1` — 17,510.377 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 15,953.703 shares
- `0x6277…5a3f` — 14,647.059 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 67,995.12 shares
- `0x2cad…eb66` — 31,249.976 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 23,294.247 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 20,064.955 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 18,999.925 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T11:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T10:34:03.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 38¢ |
| Net change | -36.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dk-t1-2026-05-25-game3` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T11:31:44.757Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-t1-2026-05-25-game3.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*