# LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 12:27:45 GMT. 24h change -39.0pp, 24h volume $558.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-t1-2026-05-25-game4
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dk-t1-2026-05-25-game4
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T12:27:45.776Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -39.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -41.9pp |
| 24h volume | $558.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $558.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $470.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Dplus KIA and T1 in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 25 at 3:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 4 against T1.
> 
> This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 4 against Dplus KIA.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. 
> 
> If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x507e…beae` — 28,805.449 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 17,499.961 shares
- `0x19b6…ad8e` — 15,901.453 shares
- `0xd525…1815` — 13,123.931 shares
- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 11,110.929 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x996a…e3cc` — 38,000 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 32,888.811 shares
- `0x33ab…9523` — 27,290.25 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 22,842.605 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 20,406.86 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T13:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T12:27:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | -41.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dk-t1-2026-05-25-game4` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T12:27:45.776Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dk-t1-2026-05-25-game4.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*