# LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 11:33:47 GMT. 24h change -21.4pp, 24h volume $588.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dnf-dk-2026-05-13-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dnf-dk-2026-05-13-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T11:33:47.789Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -5.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -21.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $588.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $588.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $285.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and Dplus KIA in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 13 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against Dplus KIA.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against DN SOOPers.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 21.4pp in 24h with 2.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 140,708.726 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 44,249.967 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 37,125.919 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 26,727.577 shares
- `0xb10b…0b04` — 26,494.12 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x33ab…9523` — 98,880.48 shares
- `0x6049…f14f` — 93,409.78 shares
- `0x5e04…08a2` — 30,461.34 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 30,430.927 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 30,299.33 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 68 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T17:00:35.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T11:33:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 24¢ |
| Net change | -21.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dnf-dk-2026-05-13-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T11:33:47.789Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dnf-dk-2026-05-13-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*