# LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 11:32:25 GMT. 24h change -12.4pp, 24h volume $325.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dnf-dk-2026-05-13
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dnf-dk-2026-05-13
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T11:32:25.077Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -5.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -12.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $325.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $327.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $380.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and Dplus KIA in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 13 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win the match against Dplus KIA.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against DN SOOPers.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. 
> 
> If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
> 
> In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 81%): Probability moved down 12.4pp in 24h with 0.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 4h.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m ago | `Menacing-Knife` | SELL | DPLUS KIA | $113.52 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa9c4…7433` — 28,999.995 shares
- `0x098c…1c67` — 15,814.535 shares
- `0xbd46…6956` — 15,000 shares
- `0xe807…307c` — 13,776 shares
- `0x883d…3627` — 12,459.51 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x85d5…45ee` — 52,282.78 shares
- `0x38ac…f9b7` — 25,556.92 shares
- `0x1887…f75d` — 22,222 shares
- `0x204e…8d08` — 21,900 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 10,647.25 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 68 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T17:00:27.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T11:31:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 14¢ |
| Net change | -11.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dnf-dk-2026-05-13` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T11:32:25.077Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dnf-dk-2026-05-13.
```

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