# Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 12:49:59 GMT. 24h change +67.5pp, 24h volume $145.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dnf-fox1-2026-05-03-game-handicap-home-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-dnf-fox1-2026-05-03-game-handicap-home-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T12:49:59.668Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +67.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +60.0pp |
| 24h volume | $145.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $145.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $58.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and BNK FEARX in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 3 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX wins 2 or more games than DN SOOPers in this match.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "DN SOOPers". 
> 
> Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 65,950.486 shares
- `0xda6a…5b40` — 13,333 shares
- `0xa2e4…bf9d` — 8,008.165 shares
- `0x64c5…d255` — 6,169 shares
- `0xb27a…7d3f` — 3,900 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf344…9a04` — 35,105.01 shares
- `0x2307…3934` — 29,999.948 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 24,999.13 shares
- `0x3fbd…c4e4` — 5,633.29 shares
- `0x7462…3ac3` — 3,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-26T13:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T12:49:04.000Z |
| Range | 33¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +60.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-dnf-fox1-2026-05-03-game-handicap-home-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T12:49:59.668Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-dnf-fox1-2026-05-03-game-handicap-home-1pt5.
```

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