# Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 10:44:43 GMT. 24h change -35.9pp, 24h volume $232.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-drx-dnf-2026-05-04-game-handicap-away-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-drx-dnf-2026-05-04-game-handicap-away-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T10:44:43.367Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -35.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $232.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $242.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $9.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between Kiwoom DRX and DN SOOPers in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 4 at 3:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX wins 2 or more games than DN SOOPers in this match.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "DN SOOPers". 
> 
> Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfbf3…b218` — 64,303.475 shares
- `0xe308…25cd` — 64,020.245 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 25,665.27 shares
- `0xb10b…0b04` — 14,198.453 shares
- `0x9cb9…32f2` — 3,799.806 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3af1…d739` — 50,258.055 shares
- `0x1d2e…896d` — 21,897.816 shares
- `0x2307…3934` — 20,000 shares
- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 19,999.981 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 14,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 49 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T11:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T10:44:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 63¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-drx-dnf-2026-05-04-game-handicap-away-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T10:44:43.367Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-drx-dnf-2026-05-04-game-handicap-away-1pt5.
```

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