# LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 17:55:38 GMT. 24h change +68.5pp, 24h volume $357.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fnc-vit-2026-05-04-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-fnc-vit-2026-05-04-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T17:55:38.154Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +68.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +48.9pp |
| 24h volume | $357.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $357.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $226.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Team Vitality in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 1 against Team Vitality.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 1 against Fnatic.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 31,300 shares
- `0x14f1…4a46` — 16,222 shares
- `0x4e8d…febf` — 10,181.784 shares
- `0x6bac…6fb7` — 9,739.22 shares
- `0xe361…ae44` — 8,981.33 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 13,393.275 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 10,940.237 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 7,900 shares
- `0xb6ce…7a7d` — 7,692.003 shares
- `0x82dc…5700` — 7,499.303 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-27T18:00:20.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T17:54:05.000Z |
| Range | 24¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +49.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-fnc-vit-2026-05-04-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T17:55:38.154Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fnc-vit-2026-05-04-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*