# LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 17:55:14 GMT. 24h change -31.4pp, 24h volume $473.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fnc-vit-2026-05-04-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-fnc-vit-2026-05-04-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T17:55:14.898Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -31.4pp |
| Δ 1w | -50.9pp |
| 24h volume | $473.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $473.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $234.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Team Vitality in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 2 against Team Vitality.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 2 against Fnatic.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3af1…d739` — 22,054.971 shares
- `0x67ac…edf1` — 13,449.255 shares
- `0x6842…20d0` — 12,999.996 shares
- `0xe843…0699` — 12,480 shares
- `0x2935…96f7` — 11,999.983 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x996a…e3cc` — 47,511.05 shares
- `0xdf43…ae9a` — 15,115 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 13,205 shares
- `0xb6ce…7a7d` — 12,549.341 shares
- `0xda6a…5b40` — 12,311.36 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-27T18:00:22.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T17:54:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 52¢ |
| Net change | -51.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-fnc-vit-2026-05-04-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T17:55:14.898Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fnc-vit-2026-05-04-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*