# Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 10:10:55 GMT. 24h change +30.9pp, 24h volume $236.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fox1-gen-2026-05-14-game-handicap-home-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-fox1-gen-2026-05-14-game-handicap-home-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T10:10:55.003Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +29.9pp |
| Δ 24h | +30.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $236.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $242.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $356.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Gen.G in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 14 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G wins 2 or more games than BNK FEARX in this match.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BNK FEARX". 
> 
> Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 78%): Probability moved up 30.9pp in 24h with 0.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 4h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6ade…f5b0` — 56,070.63 shares
- `0x183f…85e3` — 19,020.61 shares
- `0x14f1…4a46` — 17,000 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 13,468 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 13,084.03 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1341…0853` — 69,186.171 shares
- `0xda3a…381f` — 19,999.951 shares
- `0x6918…782b` — 14,999.078 shares
- `0xea2b…1fc6` — 12,892.552 shares
- `0xadfa…324e` — 11,999.991 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 91 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T17:00:24.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T10:10:07.000Z |
| Range | 34¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-fox1-gen-2026-05-14-game-handicap-home-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T10:10:55.003Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fox1-gen-2026-05-14-game-handicap-home-1pt5.
```

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