# LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 09:50:27 GMT. 24h change -24.9pp, 24h volume $570.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fox1-hle1-2026-05-21-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-fox1-hle1-2026-05-21-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T09:50:27.041Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -66.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -24.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $570.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $570.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $232.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against BNK FEARX.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 24.9pp in 24h with 2.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xafd4…7e61` — 27,152.971 shares
- `0xef26…05ba` — 16,890.803 shares
- `0x6842…20d0` — 14,999.978 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 14,300 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 14,121.339 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 70,302.34 shares
- `0x996a…e3cc` — 19,329.38 shares
- `0xec98…afcd` — 10,992.244 shares
- `0x3471…f17e` — 9,404.126 shares
- `0x2d39…6053` — 8,935.137 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 139 |
| Window start | 2026-05-15T16:00:13.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T09:47:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-fox1-hle1-2026-05-21-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T09:50:27.041Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fox1-hle1-2026-05-21-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*