# LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 10:23:43 GMT. 24h change -25.4pp, 24h volume $551.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fox1-hle1-2026-05-21-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-fox1-hle1-2026-05-21-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T10:23:43.380Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -27.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -25.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $551.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $551.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $501.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 2 against Hanwha Life Esports.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 2 against BNK FEARX.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 84%): Probability moved down 25.4pp in 24h with 1.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc44f…d49f` — 36,601.396 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 34,327.42 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 22,143.286 shares
- `0xef26…05ba` — 16,833.9 shares
- `0xd331…733c` — 11,825.87 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 43,000 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 33,794.699 shares
- `0xdf43…ae9a` — 19,323.78 shares
- `0x33ab…9523` — 18,752.89 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 17,587.353 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 140 |
| Window start | 2026-05-15T16:00:14.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T10:23:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-fox1-hle1-2026-05-21-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T10:23:43.380Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fox1-hle1-2026-05-21-game2.
```

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