# LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 13:47:27 GMT. 24h change +40.0pp, 24h volume $603.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fox1-ns-2026-05-16-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-fox1-ns-2026-05-16-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T13:47:27.379Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +76.4pp |
| Δ 24h | +40.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $603.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $603.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $518.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 2 against Nongshim Red Force.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 2 against BNK FEARX.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 85%): Probability moved up 40.0pp in 24h with 1.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfa58…31d6` — 78,000 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 25,000 shares
- `0xf201…527e` — 21,230.261 shares
- `0x04b1…d224` — 10,000.713 shares
- `0x21d0…42b1` — 10,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x33d3…bf38` — 24,354.483 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 15,464.891 shares
- `0x9e3b…6598` — 14,999.973 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 14,976.871 shares
- `0x2cad…eb66` — 10,026.437 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 141 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T17:00:27.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T13:41:07.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-fox1-ns-2026-05-16-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T13:47:27.379Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fox1-ns-2026-05-16-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*