# LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 12 May 2026 11:50:27 GMT. 24h change -28.0pp, 24h volume $468.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fox1-t1-2026-05-12-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-fox1-t1-2026-05-12-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-12T11:50:27.803Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -28.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -32.5pp |
| 24h volume | $468.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $468.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $381.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between BNK FEARX and T1 in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 2 against T1.
> 
> This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 2 against BNK FEARX.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9024…a444` — 93,961.83 shares
- `0x9b97…6084` — 83,203.852 shares
- `0x7b75…3fd1` — 50,337.025 shares
- `0xc41d…74fd` — 21,999.89 shares
- `0xf7c2…9b8d` — 6,479.167 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6049…f14f` — 100,231.28 shares
- `0x33ab…9523` — 96,318.88 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 67,394.97 shares
- `0x42bd…12ca` — 24,216 shares
- `0x85d5…45ee` — 17,272.703 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T12:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-12T11:50:03.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 40¢ |
| Net change | -32.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-fox1-t1-2026-05-12-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-12T11:50:27.803Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fox1-t1-2026-05-12-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*