# LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:06:51 GMT. 24h change -41.9pp, 24h volume $208.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fur-red-2026-05-02-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-fur-red-2026-05-02-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:06:51.916Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -41.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $208.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $208.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $143.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between FURIA Esports and RED Canids in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 2 at 3:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 1 against RED Canids.
> 
> This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win Game 1 against FURIA Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb10b…0b04` — 25,201.823 shares
- `0x17f1…af18` — 15,000 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 14,999.986 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 9,999.974 shares
- `0x6842…20d0` — 5,799.979 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6049…f14f` — 26,307.72 shares
- `0x996a…e3cc` — 15,052.92 shares
- `0x663d…2dd4` — 13,223.556 shares
- `0x06c0…e618` — 10,405.21 shares
- `0x33ab…9523` — 9,727.75 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 128 |
| Window start | 2026-04-27T14:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:06:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-fur-red-2026-05-02-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:06:51.916Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fur-red-2026-05-02-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*