# LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:06:23 GMT. 24h change +57.0pp, 24h volume $151.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fur-red-2026-05-02-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-fur-red-2026-05-02-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:06:23.495Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +57.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $151.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $151.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $172.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between FURIA Esports and RED Canids in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 2 at 3:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 2 against RED Canids.
> 
> This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win Game 2 against FURIA Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 32,151.53 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 3,627.254 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 3,292 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 3,248.02 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 2,200 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 6,877.459 shares
- `0xf201…527e` — 5,198.82 shares
- `0x0ef2…79f9` — 4,114.995 shares
- `0xe308…25cd` — 3,816.594 shares
- `0x682d…4cd6` — 3,713.142 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 128 |
| Window start | 2026-04-27T14:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:06:04.000Z |
| Range | 31¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-fur-red-2026-05-02-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:06:23.495Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-fur-red-2026-05-02-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*