# Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 56% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 17:37:10 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $297.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game-handicap-away-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game-handicap-away-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T17:37:10.707Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **56¢** (56%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $297.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $297.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $18.1K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between G2 Esports and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 25 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports wins 2 or more games than Movistar KOI in this match.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Movistar KOI". 
> 
> Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 128,217.436 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 19,999.919 shares
- `0x3a7f…7603` — 17,851.9 shares
- `0xfed1…eedb` — 12,445.023 shares
- `0xb6ed…5dc7` — 9,615 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x37e4…c991` — 99,999.994 shares
- `0x93cc…6ffc` — 25,524.52 shares
- `0xa7df…5eee` — 17,499.849 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 16,798.68 shares
- `0xea2b…1fc6` — 15,979.75 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 23 |
| Window start | 2026-05-24T19:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T16:17:15.000Z |
| Range | 14¢ → 57¢ |
| Net change | -21.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game-handicap-away-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) — 56% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T17:37:10.707Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game-handicap-away-1pt5.
```

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