# LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 64% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 18:31:02 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $22.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T18:31:02.180Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **64¢** (64%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $22.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $22.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $69.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between G2 Esports and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 25 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 1 against Movistar KOI.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 1 against G2 Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 0h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 32,858.439 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 24,249.951 shares
- `0xec92…6b59` — 22,221 shares
- `0x9b49…04a8` — 11,669.28 shares
- `0x7553…65ca` — 9,799.946 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 42,132.93 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 16,800 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 14,246.385 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 14,010.697 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 6,365.26 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 21 |
| Window start | 2026-05-24T19:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T14:12:04.000Z |
| Range | 63¢ → 66¢ |
| Net change | -2.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner — 64% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T18:31:02.180Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*