# LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 63% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 18:30:37 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $845.93.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game3
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game3
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T18:30:37.426Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **63¢** (63%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $845.93 |
| Lifetime volume | $845.93 |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $27.0K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between G2 Esports and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 25 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 3 against Movistar KOI.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 3 against G2 Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. 
> 
> If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1136…0c2e` — 50,949.988 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 50,000 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 24,547.68 shares
- `0xf163…ca34` — 20,977.92 shares
- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 19,795.85 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 51,855.919 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 45,510.251 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 36,588.31 shares
- `0x5bbe…c65d` — 30,476.587 shares
- `0xda3a…381f` — 21,463.103 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 25 |
| Window start | 2026-05-24T19:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T18:30:04.000Z |
| Range | 63¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +35.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game3` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner — 63% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T18:30:37.426Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-g2-mkoi-2026-05-25-game3.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*