# LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 11:03:03 GMT. 24h change +21.4pp, 24h volume $714.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-gen-ns-2026-05-06-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-gen-ns-2026-05-06-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T11:03:03.402Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +21.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $714.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $714.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $474.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 6 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against Gen.G.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 45,000 shares
- `0xb489…de6b` — 42,384.97 shares
- `0x7714…b814` — 20,000 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 18,947.758 shares
- `0x183f…85e3` — 15,070.83 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x32cc…68b3` — 162,408.659 shares
- `0x2935…96f7` — 14,569.368 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 12,692.076 shares
- `0xe361…ae44` — 8,614.21 shares
- `0xb10b…0b04` — 7,157.173 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 89 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T19:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T10:32:05.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-gen-ns-2026-05-06-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T11:03:03.402Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-gen-ns-2026-05-06-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*