# LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 10:03:11 GMT. 24h change +41.9pp, 24h volume $696.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-gen-t1-2026-05-16-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-gen-t1-2026-05-16-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T10:03:11.283Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +41.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $696.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $696.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $944.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and T1 in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 16 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against T1.
> 
> This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Gen.G.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 140,000 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 37,425.258 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 32,369.789 shares
- `0x0c72…9925` — 17,964.44 shares
- `0x7714…b814` — 11,365.257 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3892…4093` — 62,035.186 shares
- `0xfbf3…b218` — 49,553.462 shares
- `0xd331…733c` — 44,999.995 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 16,531 shares
- `0xddb6…87e7` — 15,589.216 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 138 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T17:00:35.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T10:03:06.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-gen-t1-2026-05-16-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T10:03:11.283Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-gen-t1-2026-05-16-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*