# LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 10:45:44 GMT. 24h change -59.0pp, 24h volume $1.0M.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-gen-t1-2026-05-16-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-gen-t1-2026-05-16-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T10:45:44.271Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -87.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -59.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $1.0M |
| Lifetime volume | $1.0M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.1M |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and T1 in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 16 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 2 against T1.
> 
> This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 2 against Gen.G.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 81%): Probability moved down 59.0pp in 24h with 0.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe361…ae44` — 117,891.439 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 72,408.319 shares
- `0xe85b…2477` — 21,305.51 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 12,543.545 shares
- `0x2cad…eb66` — 10,621.347 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 161,712.418 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 59,800 shares
- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 49,794.05 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 16,996 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 15,747.022 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 138 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T17:00:31.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T10:45:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 61¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-gen-t1-2026-05-16-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T10:45:44.271Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-gen-t1-2026-05-16-game2.
```

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