# LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 19:30:18 GMT. 24h change +42.4pp, 24h volume $319.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-gx-sly-2026-05-14-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-gx-sly-2026-05-14-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T19:30:18.903Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +42.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +39.5pp |
| 24h volume | $319.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $319.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $142.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 2 match between GIANTX and Solary in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 2:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 1 against Solary.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 1 against GIANTX.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 73,714.06 shares
- `0x4916…5442` — 34,683.78 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 10,323.308 shares
- `0x842a…7422` — 7,992.382 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 7,959.76 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd4a4…a73e` — 19,999.871 shares
- `0x19b6…ad8e` — 16,284.785 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 9,300 shares
- `0x6918…782b` — 8,378.117 shares
- `0x6bac…6fb7` — 6,387.16 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-07T20:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T19:30:06.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +39.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-gx-sly-2026-05-14-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T19:30:18.903Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-gx-sly-2026-05-14-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*