# LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 12 May 2026 13:37:58 GMT. 24h change +31.4pp, 24h volume $299.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-hle1-dk-2026-05-12-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-hle1-dk-2026-05-12-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-12T13:37:58.577Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +31.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $299.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $299.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $68.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 12 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against Dplus KIA.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe557…9597` — 50,000 shares
- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 30,434.24 shares
- `0xdf43…ae9a` — 11,452.33 shares
- `0xf859…a183` — 5,000 shares
- `0x7a4b…4a75` — 2,099.99 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb10b…0b04` — 27,975.169 shares
- `0x40ea…832f` — 23,644.013 shares
- `0xb589…91e3` — 13,703.994 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 9,376.923 shares
- `0x7634…827f` — 5,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 158 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T01:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-12T13:37:07.000Z |
| Range | 65¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +33.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-hle1-dk-2026-05-12-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-12T13:37:58.577Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-hle1-dk-2026-05-12-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*