# LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 12 May 2026 13:37:19 GMT. 24h change -68.0pp, 24h volume $371.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-hle1-dk-2026-05-12-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-hle1-dk-2026-05-12-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-12T13:37:19.893Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -68.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $371.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $371.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $105.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 12 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 2 against Dplus KIA.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 2 against Hanwha Life Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc44f…d49f` — 20,000 shares
- `0xd4a4…a73e` — 20,000 shares
- `0x2cad…eb66` — 18,000 shares
- `0xc41d…74fd` — 15,728.68 shares
- `0x9b49…04a8` — 11,496.94 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 88,114.58 shares
- `0x996a…e3cc` — 32,000 shares
- `0xe7e1…ec43` — 21,938.317 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 16,947.567 shares
- `0x204e…8d08` — 15,200 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 158 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T01:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-12T13:37:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 70¢ |
| Net change | -67.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-hle1-dk-2026-05-12-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-12T13:37:19.893Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-hle1-dk-2026-05-12-game2.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*